Serie A
Milan vs 
Lecce Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 53.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Milan have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, Lecce 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.8% for over 2.5 and 72.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.8 goals a game. Milan have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Lecce in 1 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.6
1.2
1.2
1.4
Each team to score
By half
Goals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
46.8%Both Teams to Score46.8%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 46.8% for three or more goals and 72.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Milan favoured at 59.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Milan to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Milan 5 · 0 draws · Lecce 0 · 2.8 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Milan vs Lecce?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 46.8% for Milan vs Lecce.
Will Milan score against Lecce?
The model rates Milan to score at 81.9% and Lecce to score at 56.3%.
How often have Milan seen both teams score recently?
Milan have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Lecce in 1 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Serie A, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
