Danish Superliga
MidtjyllandMidtjyllandWDWWW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1117:00UK
SonderjyskeSonderjyskeDWLWL

Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

2-1 correct score9.4%
2-0 correct score9.3%
3-1 correct score7.9%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.4%2-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Midtjylland goals, columns = Sonderjyske goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 2-19.4%
  2. 2-09.3%
  3. 3-17.9%
  4. 1-17.9%
  5. 3-07.8%
  6. 1-07.0%
  7. 4-15.0%
  8. 4-04.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.4% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.9% 4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Midtjylland · Columns: Sonderjyske

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

3.3%

0

9.6%

1

18.7%

2

21.5%

3

18.9%

4

23.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MidtjyllandMidtjyllandLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-2

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

SonderjyskeSonderjyskeLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 4-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 4-0
L
Loss · 1-5

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3MidtjyllandMidtjylland wins
1Draws
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske wins
4.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
2 – 3
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
1 – 2
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
2 – 2
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
2 – 1
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
6 – 2
SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 9.4% at 2-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Midtjylland have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Sonderjyske 2.0 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 68.4% for over 2.5 and 87.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.6 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 68.4% for three or more goals and 87.0% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With Midtjylland favoured at 69.6%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

69.6%Favoured: Midtjylland
58.9%Both Teams to Score
68.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 2-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 68.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMidtjylland are the model’s pick on the result at 69.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
The model's most likely scoreline for Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske is 2-1 at 9.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.