Ligue 2
MetzMetzDWLDL
Full time3-2Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1013:00UK
SochauxSochauxDDWDD

Metz 3-2 Sochaux both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes50.8%
Both teams to score: No49.2%

Result

Metz3-2Sochaux
Yes

We called Yes at 50.8% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes50.8%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean50.8%
No49.2%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 45.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Metz scored
1.8
Metz conceded
1.8
Sochaux scored
0.8
Sochaux conceded
0.6

Each team to score

Metz to score73.4%
Metz 2+ goals38.1%
Sochaux to score68.4%
Sochaux 2+ goals32.0%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.8%
Both score in 2nd half19.1%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.0%

0

19.5%

1

26.4%

2

21.3%

3

13.2%

4

10.2%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

MetzBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
SochauxBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 0/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

MetzMetzLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 2-4

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

SochauxSochauxLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 4 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3MetzMetz wins
2Draws
0SochauxSochaux wins
1.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SochauxSochaux
0 – 1
MetzMetz
MetzMetz
0 – 0
SochauxSochaux
MetzMetz
1 – 1
SochauxSochaux
SochauxSochaux
1 – 2
MetzMetz
MetzMetz
1 – 0
SochauxSochaux

Match outlook

PickMetz39.9%
Draw28.3%
Sochaux31.8%

The model leans Metz to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,250Matches graded

In 34,669 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✓ 55.9%✗ 50.1%✗ 63.1%✗ 54.9%✓ 51.2%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Yes 50.4%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28No 55.9%Hit
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Yes 50.1%Miss
Brommapojkarna vs Hacken2026-10-28Yes 63.1%Miss
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK2026-10-28Yes 54.9%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 50.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Metz have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, Sochaux 0.8 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 45.0% for over 2.5 and 71.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. Metz have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Sochaux in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 45.0% for three or more goals and 71.4% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Metz favoured at 39.9%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

39.9%Favoured: Metz
50.8%Both Teams to Score
45.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 45.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMetz are the model’s pick on the result at 39.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
MetzMetz

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SochauxSochaux
Statistic
Metz
Sochaux
BTTS rate
75.0%
37.5%

clean sheets
12.5%
50.0%

goals scored per game
1.5
0.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Metz vs Sochaux?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 50.8%. Both teams scored, final score 3-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.