AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Segunda División
MallorcaMallorcaDWWLD
Full time3-1Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1017:30UK
Las PalmasLas PalmasDWLLD

Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.5%

Result

Mallorca3-1Las Palmas
9 cornersMallorca 7, Las Palmas 2
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 58.5% and it landed (9 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners41.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Mallorca.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 66.5% 33.5%
8.5 corners 53.9% 46.1%
9.5 corners 41.5% 58.5%
10.5 corners 30.3% 69.8%
11.5 corners 21.0% 79.1%
12.5 corners 13.8% 86.2%

Who wins the corner count

Mallorca
52.4%
Level
11.3%
Las Palmas
36.3%

Team corners lines

Mallorca

Over 3.5
68.4%
Over 4.5
52.0%
Over 5.5
36.5%

Las Palmas

Over 3.5
57.1%
Over 4.5
39.6%
Over 5.5
25.2%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Mallorca's; Las Palmas gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Mallorca line Mallorca Las Palmas
-1.5 40.9% 59.1%
-0.5 52.4% 47.6%
+0.5 63.7% 36.3%
+1.5 74.0% 26.0%
MallorcaMallorca

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Mallorca at home and Las Palmas away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Las PalmasLas Palmas
Statistic
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Corners won per game at this venue
3.8
3.8

Corners conceded per game at this venue
3.8
5.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 41.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 66.5% for over 7.5 to 13.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.9%. Between the two sides, Mallorca are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 11.3%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Mallorca over 4.5 corners sits at 52.0% and Las Palmas at 39.6%. This season Mallorca have averaged 4.3 corners won a game and Las Palmas 4.1.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

41.5%Over 9.5 corners
52.4%Most corners: Mallorca
52.0%Mallorca over 4.5 corners
39.6%Las Palmas over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 41.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderMallorca are the pick to win the corner count at 52.4%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 53.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
MallorcaMallorca

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Las PalmasLas Palmas
Statistic
Mallorca
Las Palmas
corners won per game
4.3
4.1

corners conceded per game
4.6
5.4

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 41.5% for Mallorca vs Las Palmas.
Which team will win the corner count in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Before kickoff, the model rated Mallorca to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 11.3%.
How many corners do Mallorca and Las Palmas average this season?
Mallorca have won 4.3 corners a game this season and Las Palmas 4.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónMallorca fixtures and statsLas Palmas fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.