Ekstraklasa
Lech PoznanLech PoznanWWLWW
Full time6-1Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1016:30UK
Korona KielceKorona KielceDWLWL

Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes50.6%
Both teams to score: No49.4%

Result

Lech Poznan6-1Korona Kielce
Yes

We called Yes at 50.6% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes50.6%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean50.6%
No49.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 53.5%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Lech Poznan scored
2.6
Lech Poznan conceded
1.0
Korona Kielce scored
1.2
Korona Kielce conceded
1.6

Each team to score

Lech Poznan to score85.6%
Lech Poznan 2+ goals57.7%
Korona Kielce to score58.5%
Korona Kielce 2+ goals22.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.5%

0

15.8%

1

24.2%

2

22.3%

3

15.7%

4

14.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Lech PoznanBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
Korona KielceBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 5-1
W
Win · 4-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

Korona KielceKorona KielceLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Lech PoznanLech Poznan wins
1Draws
1Korona KielceKorona Kielce wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1 – 2
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
1 – 1
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
2 – 0
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
2 – 3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
1 – 2
Korona KielceKorona Kielce

Match outlook

PickLech Poznan61.7%
Draw22.4%
Korona Kielce15.9%

The model leans Lech Poznan to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 50.6%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Lech Poznan have averaged 2.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Korona Kielce 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.5% for over 2.5 and 77.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Lech Poznan have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Korona Kielce in 3 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 53.5% for three or more goals and 77.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Lech Poznan favoured at 61.7%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

61.7%Favoured: Lech Poznan
50.6%Both Teams to Score
53.5%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.6% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 53.5% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLech Poznan are the model’s pick on the result at 61.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Lech PoznanLech Poznan

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Statistic
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
BTTS rate
66.7%
60.0%

clean sheets
33.3%
10.0%

goals scored per game
2.3
1.2

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 50.6%. Both teams scored, final score 6-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.