Pro League
Kortrijk vs 
Antwerp Shots
Result
Settled, final score 0-3. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 24.5 shots at 57.1%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 68.6% for over 22.5 to 34.2% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.4%. Between the two sides, Kortrijk are the model’s pick to have more shots at 63.5%, with a level count at 5.5%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| 24.5 shots | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| 26.5 shots | 45.4% | 54.7% |
| 28.5 shots | 34.2% | 65.8% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
77.1%
62.6%
47.1%
56.4%
39.1%
24.7%
Shot handicap
| Kortrijk line | Kortrijk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| -2.5 | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| -0.5 | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| +0.5 | 69.0% | 31.1% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 76.2% | 23.8% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 41.4% | 58.6% |
This season (2026/27)
9.0Kortrijk shots per game19.0Antwerp shots per gameTotal shots follow which side is chasing the game, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Kortrijk.
In-depth analysis
57.1%Over 24.5 shots62.6%Kortrijk over 12.5 shots39.1%Antwerp over 12.5 shots65.0%Over 7.5 on targetBy team, Kortrijk over 12.5 shots sits at 62.6% and Antwerp at 39.1%. This season Kortrijk have averaged 9.0 shots a game and Antwerp 19.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 24.5 total shots at 57.1% for Kortrijk vs Antwerp.
Which team will have more shots in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated Kortrijk to take more shots at 63.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 12,849 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 56.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
The model’s most recent graded Shots predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
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Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.