Pro League
Kortrijk vs 
Antwerp Cards
Result
Settled, final score 0-3. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 3.5 cards at 55.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 75.0% for over 2.5 to 20.2% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.1%. Head to head on cards, Antwerp are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 47.7%, with a level count at 20.5%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| 3.5 cards | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| 4.5 cards | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| 5.5 cards | 20.2% | 79.8% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
52.3%
25.7%
63.7%
36.8%
Card handicap
| Kortrijk line | Kortrijk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15.9% | 84.2% |
| -0.5 | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| +0.5 | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| +1.5 | 71.9% | 28.1% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| 22.5 fouls | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| 24.5 fouls | 35.7% | 64.4% |
This season (2026/27)
1.0Kortrijk cards per game10.0Kortrijk fouls per game2.0Antwerp cards per game15.0Antwerp fouls per gameThe discipline market is less analysed than goals, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Kortrijk vs Antwerp. It tips Antwerp for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
55.1%Over 3.5 cards24.4%Any red card52.3%Kortrijk over 1.5 cards63.7%Antwerp over 1.5 cards49.5%Over 22.5 foulsSplit by side, Kortrijk over 1.5 cards sits at 52.3% and Antwerp at 63.7%. A red card for either side is rated at 24.4% (Kortrijk 13.1%, Antwerp 13.0%). This season Kortrijk have averaged 1.0 cards a game and Antwerp 2.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 55.1% for Kortrijk vs Antwerp.
Will there be a red card in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 24.4%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated Antwerp to pick up more cards at 47.7%, with a level count at 20.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 11,059 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Cards actually happened 55.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 14 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.