Kortrijk vs Antwerp prediction & probabilities (2026-08-15)

Pro League

Kortrijk vs Antwerp Corners

2026-08-15 · 17:15
Corners52.5%Over 9.5 corners

Result

Kortrijk 0-3 Antwerp

Settled, final score 0-3. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.

Best predictionOver 9.5 corners · 52.5%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
53%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 52.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 76.9% for over 7.5 to 22.3% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.1%. Head to head on corners, Kortrijk are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Corners

Over 8.566.0%

Over 9.554.1%

Over 10.542.3%

Over 11.531.5%

Total corners, every line

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 76.9% 23.1%
8.5 corners 66.0% 34.0%
9.5 corners 54.1% 45.9%
10.5 corners 42.3% 57.7%
11.5 corners 31.5% 68.5%
12.5 corners 22.3% 77.7%

Who wins the corner count

★ ModelKortrijk54.1%

Level10.5%

Antwerp35.4%

Team corner lines

Kortrijk over 3.5

75.9%

Kortrijk over 4.5

61.1%

Kortrijk over 5.5

45.8%

Antwerp over 3.5

64.0%

Antwerp over 4.5

47.0%

Antwerp over 5.5

31.7%

Corner handicap

Kortrijk line Kortrijk Antwerp
-1.5 43.4% 56.6%
-0.5 54.1% 45.9%
+0.5 64.6% 35.4%
+1.5 74.1% 25.9%

This season (2026/27)

1.0Kortrijk corners won per game
6.0Kortrijk corners conceded per game
5.0Antwerp corners won per game
3.0Antwerp corners conceded per game

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Kortrijk.

In-depth analysis

54.1%Over 9.5 corners
54.1%Most corners: Kortrijk
61.1%Kortrijk over 4.5 corners
47.0%Antwerp over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

By team, Kortrijk over 4.5 corners sits at 61.1% and Antwerp at 47.0%. This season Kortrijk have averaged 1.0 corners won a game and Antwerp 5.0.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 52.5% on Corners, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The Territory ReaderKortrijk are the pick to win the corner count at 54.1%, territory tends to follow the side forcing the play.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 54.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 54.1% for Kortrijk vs Antwerp.

Which team will win the corner count in Kortrijk vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated Kortrijk to win the corner count at 54.1%, with a level count at 10.5%.

How many corners do Kortrijk and Antwerp average this season?
Kortrijk have won 1.0 corners a game this season and Antwerp 5.0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0099Calibration error
50,161Matches graded

In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Corners calls

The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✗ 54.9%✗ 58.1%✓ 53.1%✗ 53.0%✓ 51.3%✓ 52.8%✓ 54.8%✓ 55.3%✗ 54.3%✓ 58.9%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Under 9.5 54.9%Miss
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10Under 9.5 58.1%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Over 9.5 53.1%Hit
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Under 9.5 53.0%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09Over 9.5 51.3%Hit

More Pro League, Corners

All Corners predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.