Super League Greece
KalamataKalamataLDWLW
Full time4-3Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1014:00UK
OFI CreteOFI CreteLWWDL

Kalamata 4-3 OFI Crete correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.2%
1-0 correct score9.2%
0-1 correct score8.9%

Result

Kalamata4-3OFI Crete

Final score 4-3. The model gave that exact scoreline 0.3%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.2%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Kalamata goals, columns = OFI Crete goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.2%
  2. 1-09.2%
  3. 0-18.9%
  4. 2-18.3%
  5. 0-08.0%
  6. 1-28.0%
  7. 2-06.5%
  8. 0-26.1%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8% 8.9% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.2% 13.2% 8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Kalamata · Columns: OFI Crete

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.0%

0

18.0%

1

25.7%

2

21.8%

3

14.2%

4

11.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

KalamataKalamataLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 3-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

OFI CreteOFI CreteLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-3

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Kalamata have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, OFI Crete 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.3% for over 2.5 and 74.0% for at least two goals. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 48.3% for three or more goals and 74.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Kalamata favoured at 37.1%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

37.1%Favoured: Kalamata
53.6%Both Teams to Score
48.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 48.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutKalamata are the model’s pick on the result at 37.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Kalamata vs OFI Crete?
Kalamata vs OFI Crete finished 4-3. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.2%; it gave the actual 4-3 a 0.3% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.