Super League Greece
IraklisIraklisDDWLL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1115:30UK
PanathinaikosPanathinaikosWWLWW

Iraklis vs Panathinaikos correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

0-1 correct score13.2%
1-1 correct score12%
0-2 correct score11.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.2%0-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Iraklis goals, columns = Panathinaikos goals. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.2%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 0-113.2%
  2. 1-112.0%
  3. 0-211.3%
  4. 1-29.5%
  5. 0-08.9%
  6. 1-06.4%
  7. 0-36.2%
  8. 1-35.2%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9% 13.2% 11.3% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.4% 12% 9.5% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.9% 4.8% 4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Iraklis · Columns: Panathinaikos

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.9%

0

19.5%

1

26.3%

2

21.3%

3

13.3%

4

10.0%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

IraklisIraklisLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 2-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

PanathinaikosPanathinaikosLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 5-1
W
Win · 1-0

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1IraklisIraklis wins
1Draws
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos wins
2.3Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
IraklisIraklis
1 – 1
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
2 – 0
IraklisIraklis
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
4 – 0
IraklisIraklis
IraklisIraklis
1 – 0
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.2% at 0-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Iraklis have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, Panathinaikos 2.0 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.3% for over 2.5 and 71.6% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.3 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 45.3% for three or more goals and 71.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Panathinaikos favoured at 56.1%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

56.1%Favoured: Panathinaikos
46.4%Both Teams to Score
45.3%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 0-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 45.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPanathinaikos are the model’s pick on the result at 56.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Iraklis vs Panathinaikos?
The model's most likely scoreline for Iraklis vs Panathinaikos is 0-1 at 13.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.