Ligue 2
GuingampGuingampDDWLL
Full time1-2Fri, 16 Oct 202616/1019:00UK
Pau FCPau FCDDLWW

Guingamp 1-2 Pau FC both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes58.7%
Both teams to score: No41.3%

Result

Guingamp1-2Pau FC
Yes

We called Yes at 58.7% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes58.7%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean58.7%
No41.3%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 55.4%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Guingamp scored
1.6
Guingamp conceded
2.0
Pau FC scored
1.6
Pau FC conceded
1.2

Each team to score

Guingamp to score79.7%
Guingamp 2+ goals47.3%
Pau FC to score72.9%
Pau FC 2+ goals37.6%

By half

Both score in 1st half23.4%
Both score in 2nd half29.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.1%

0

14.8%

1

23.7%

2

22.4%

3

16.2%

4

16.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

GuingampBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
Pau FCBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GuingampGuingampLast 5
D
Draw · 3-3
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Pau FCPau FCLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-2

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2GuingampGuingamp wins
1Draws
2Pau FCPau FC wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Pau FCPau FC
2 – 1
GuingampGuingamp
GuingampGuingamp
2 – 2
Pau FCPau FC
Pau FCPau FC
1 – 3
GuingampGuingamp
GuingampGuingamp
0 – 1
Pau FCPau FC
Pau FCPau FC
1 – 2
GuingampGuingamp

Match outlook

PickGuingamp43.6%
Draw25.6%
Pau FC30.8%

The model leans Guingamp to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 58.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Guingamp have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Pau FC 1.6 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.4% for over 2.5 and 79.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. Guingamp have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Pau FC in 3 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 55.4% for three or more goals and 79.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Guingamp favoured at 43.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

43.6%Favoured: Guingamp
58.7%Both Teams to Score
55.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.7% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 55.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGuingamp are the model’s pick on the result at 43.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.
GuingampGuingamp

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Pau FCPau FC
Statistic
Guingamp
Pau FC
BTTS rate
62.5%
37.5%

clean sheets
12.5%
25.0%

goals scored per game
1.3
1.1

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Guingamp vs Pau FC?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 58.7%. Both teams scored, final score 1-2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.