Ekstraklasa
GKS KatowiceGKS KatowiceLLWWW
Full time0-1Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1016:30UK
Pogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinDDWWW

GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes57%
Both teams to score: No43%

Result

GKS Katowice0-1Pogon Szczecin
Yes

We called Yes at 57.0% and it missed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes57.0%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean57.0%
No43.0%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 53.3%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

GKS Katowice scored
2.0
GKS Katowice conceded
1.8
Pogon Szczecin scored
1.4
Pogon Szczecin conceded
0.4

Each team to score

GKS Katowice to score79.1%
GKS Katowice 2+ goals46.4%
Pogon Szczecin to score71.3%
Pogon Szczecin 2+ goals35.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.6%

0

15.7%

1

24.3%

2

22.3%

3

15.7%

4

14.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

GKS KatowiceBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 5/5
Pogon SzczecinBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GKS KatowiceGKS KatowiceLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 2-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

Pogon SzczecinSzczecinLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice wins
1Draws
1Pogon SzczecinSzczecin wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
1 – 1
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
2 – 0
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
4 – 0
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
3 – 1
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin

Match outlook

PickGKS Katowice44.2%
Draw26.0%
Pogon Szczecin29.8%

The model leans GKS Katowice to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 57.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: GKS Katowice have averaged 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, Pogon Szczecin 1.4 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.3% for over 2.5 and 77.7% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. GKS Katowice have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Pogon Szczecin in 2 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 53.3% for three or more goals and 77.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With GKS Katowice favoured at 44.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

44.2%Favoured: GKS Katowice
57.0%Both Teams to Score
53.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.0% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 53.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGKS Katowice are the model’s pick on the result at 44.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
Statistic
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
BTTS rate
70.0%
44.4%

clean sheets
10.0%
44.4%

goals scored per game
2.2
1.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 57.0%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.