Segunda División
CordobaCordobaWLWWD
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1117:30UK
CeutaCeutaDLLLL

Cordoba vs Ceuta correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score9.9%
2-1 correct score9.9%
2-0 correct score8.7%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Cordoba goals, columns = Ceuta goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-19.9%
  2. 2-19.9%
  3. 2-08.7%
  4. 1-07.9%
  5. 3-16.9%
  6. 3-06.0%
  7. 2-25.6%
  8. 1-25.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 4.1% 2.6% 1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6% 6.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.6% 2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Cordoba · Columns: Ceuta

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.5%

0

12.0%

1

21.2%

2

22.2%

3

17.9%

4

20.2%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CordobaCordobaLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 2-2

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

CeutaCeutaLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-2

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1CordobaCordoba wins
0Draws
1CeutaCeuta wins
3.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CeutaCeuta
3 – 2
CordobaCordoba
CordobaCordoba
2 – 0
CeutaCeuta

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 9.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Cordoba have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Ceuta 0.8 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 62.4% for over 2.5 and 83.6% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 3.5 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 62.4% for three or more goals and 83.6% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. Given Cordoba favoured at 58.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

58.7%Favoured: Cordoba
59.8%Both Teams to Score
62.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 62.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCordoba are the model’s pick on the result at 58.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Cordoba vs Ceuta?
The model's most likely scoreline for Cordoba vs Ceuta is 1-1 at 9.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Segunda División, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.