Pro League
CharleroiCharleroiLWWWL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1118:15UK
RAAL La LouviereLouviereLWLLW

Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined51.3%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined48.7%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals51.3%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 92.9% 7.1%
1.5 goals 76.2% 23.8%
2.5 goals 51.3% 48.7%
3.5 goals 29.2% 70.8%
4.5 goals 14.1% 85.9%
5.5 goals 5.9% 94.1%

Team goal lines

Charleroi over 0.5
83.5%
Charleroi over 1.5
53.7%
Charleroi over 2.5
26.9%
RAAL La Louviere over 0.5
60.5%
RAAL La Louviere over 1.5
23.8%
RAAL La Louviere over 2.5
6.8%

First-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 70.8% 29.2%
1.5 goals 34.8% 65.2%
2.5 goals 12.7% 87.3%

Second-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 77.2% 22.8%
1.5 goals 43.5% 56.5%
2.5 goals 18.6% 81.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.1%

0

16.8%

1

24.9%

2

22.1%

3

15.1%

4

13.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

CharleroiBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 3/5
RAAL La LouviereBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

CharleroiCharleroiLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 3-2
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-3

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

RAAL La LouviereLouviereLast 5
L
Loss · 0-4
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-0

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0CharleroiCharleroi wins
1Draws
1RAAL La LouviereLouviere wins
0.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
CharleroiCharleroi
0 – 0
RAAL La LouviereLouviere
RAAL La LouviereLouviere
1 – 0
CharleroiCharleroi

Match outlook

PickCharleroi57.3%
Draw24.1%
RAAL La Louviere18.6%

The model leans Charleroi to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 24,254 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 56.5%✗ 62.3%✗ 52.0%✗ 55.7%✓ 58.7%✓ 65.3%✗ 55.1%✓ 56.0%✗ 58.7%✗ 63.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 56.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 62.3%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 52.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 55.7%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 58.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 2.5 goals at 51.3%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Charleroi have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, RAAL La Louviere 1.4 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.3% for over 2.5 and 76.2% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 0.5 goals a game. Charleroi have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, RAAL La Louviere in 4 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 51.3% for three or more goals and 76.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Charleroi favoured at 57.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

57.3%Favoured: Charleroi
51.0%Both Teams to Score
51.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.3% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 51.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutCharleroi are the model’s pick on the result at 57.3%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
CharleroiCharleroi

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

RAAL La LouviereRAAL La Louviere
Statistic
Charleroi
RAAL La Louviere
goals scored per game
1.8
1.2

goals conceded per game
1.1
2.0

Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
77.8%

1st-half goals per game
0.9
0.7

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 51.3% for Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere.
Will there be a first-half goal in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?
The model rates at least one goal before half-time at 70.8%.
How often have Charleroi gone over 2.5 recently?
Charleroi have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, RAAL La Louviere in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.