AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 11 Oct 2026

Segunda División
CadizCadizDLLLD
Full time4-0Sat, 3 Oct 20263/1017:30UK
LeganesLeganesWDLWL

Cadiz 4-0 Leganes corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined54.9%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined45.1%

Result

Cadiz4-0Leganes
9 cornersCadiz 5, Leganes 4
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 54.9% and it landed (9 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners45.1%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Cadiz.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 69.6% 30.5%
8.5 corners 57.4% 42.6%
9.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
10.5 corners 33.6% 66.4%
11.5 corners 23.8% 76.2%
12.5 corners 16.1% 83.9%

Who wins the corner count

Cadiz
54.8%
Level
10.9%
Leganes
34.2%

Team corners lines

Cadiz

Over 3.5
71.7%
Over 4.5
55.9%
Over 5.5
40.5%

Leganes

Over 3.5
57.6%
Over 4.5
40.2%
Over 5.5
25.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Cadiz's; Leganes gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Cadiz line Cadiz Leganes
-1.5 43.6% 56.4%
-0.5 54.8% 45.2%
+0.5 65.8% 34.2%
+1.5 75.5% 24.5%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 45.1%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 69.6% for over 7.5 to 16.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. On the corner count, Cadiz are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.8%, with a level count at 10.9%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Cadiz over 4.5 corners sits at 55.9% and Leganes at 40.2%. This season Cadiz have averaged 4.0 corners won a game and Leganes 2.9.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

45.1%Over 9.5 corners
54.8%Most corners: Cadiz
55.9%Cadiz over 4.5 corners
40.2%Leganes over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 45.1% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderCadiz are the pick to win the corner count at 54.8%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
CadizCadiz

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LeganesLeganes
Statistic
Cadiz
Leganes
corners won per game
4.0
2.9

corners conceded per game
4.6
5.4

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Cadiz vs Leganes?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 45.1% for Cadiz vs Leganes.
Which team will win the corner count in Cadiz vs Leganes?
Before kickoff, the model rated Cadiz to win the corner count at 54.8%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How many corners do Cadiz and Leganes average this season?
Cadiz have won 4.0 corners a game this season and Leganes 2.9.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónCadiz fixtures and statsLeganes fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.