Süper Lig
Buyuksehyr vs 
Kasimpasa Correct Score
Result
Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 11.3%.
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 11.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Buyuksehyr have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Kasimpasa 1.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.7% for over 2.5 and 77.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.4 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
| 0-0 | 6.7% |
| 3-0 | 6.4% |
| 3-1 | 6.1% |
| 0-1 | 5.3% |
Score probability grid
| Buyuksehyr \ Kasimpasa | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | · | · |
| 1 | 11% | 11% | 5% | 2% | · | · |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | · | · |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | · | · |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | · | · | · |
| 5 | 1% | 1% | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Buyuksehyr goals, columns = Kasimpasa. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
51.8%Both Teams to Score52.7%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 52.7% for three or more goals and 77.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Buyuksehyr favoured at 58.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Buyuksehyr 4 · 1 draws · Kasimpasa 0 · 4.4 goals/game.
FAQ
What was the score in Buyuksehyr vs Kasimpasa?
Buyuksehyr vs Kasimpasa finished 1-1, exactly the model's most likely scoreline (11.3%).
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Süper Lig, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.