Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr prediction & probabilities (2026-09-13)

Süper Lig

Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr Correct Score

2026-09-13 · 18:00
Correct Score1-1Most likely · 12.0%
Best predictionMost likely · 12.0% · 1-1No single outcome dominates, read the distribution. Calibrated, not a tip.
ConvictionOpen

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.0% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Amedspor have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded, Buyuksehyr 1.6 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.8% for over 2.5 and 78.0% for at least two goals. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Correct Score

Most likely1-1 12.0%
Scoreline Probability
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.6%
0-1 9.3%
0-2 8.3%
2-1 6.6%
0-0 6.5%
1-0 6.2%
2-2 5.5%

Score probability grid

Amedspor \ Buyuksehyr 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6% 9% 8% 5% 2% 1%
1 6% 12% 10% 5% 2% 1%
2 4% 7% 6% 3% 1% ·
3 2% 3% 2% 1% · ·
4 · 1% 1% · · ·
5 · · · · · ·

Rows = Amedspor goals, columns = Buyuksehyr. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

6.5%

0

15.6%

1

24.2%

2

22.3%

3

15.8%

4

14.8%

5+

In-depth analysis

49.0%Favoured: Buyuksehyr
56.2%Both Teams to Score
53.8%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 53.8% for three or more goals and 78.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Buyuksehyr favoured at 49.0%, a competitive game tends to open up.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 1-1 on Correct Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 53.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBuyuksehyr are the model’s pick on the result at 49.0%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Form & head-to-head

AmedsporWLWD
BuyuksehyrWWLDL

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr?
The model's most likely scoreline for Amedspor vs Buyuksehyr is 1-1 at 12.0%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Overall model accuracy

We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0095Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
55,261Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.