Allsvenskan
BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarnaWLWDL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1115:30UK
MjallbyMjallbyLDLLW

Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined54.8%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined45.3%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals54.8%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.3%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 93.8% 6.2%
1.5 goals 78.7% 21.3%
2.5 goals 54.8% 45.3%
3.5 goals 32.4% 67.6%
4.5 goals 16.4% 83.6%
5.5 goals 7.1% 92.9%

Team goal lines

Brommapojkarna over 0.5
78.2%
Brommapojkarna over 1.5
45.0%
Brommapojkarna over 2.5
19.7%
Mjallby over 0.5
74.0%
Mjallby over 1.5
39.0%
Mjallby over 2.5
15.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.2%

0

15.1%

1

23.9%

2

22.3%

3

16.0%

4

15.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BrommapojkarnaBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5
MjallbyBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BrommapojkarnaBROLast 5
W
Win · 6-5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-0
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

MjallbyMjallbyLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 2-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0BrommapojkarnaBRO wins
2Draws
3MjallbyMjallby wins
1.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MjallbyMjallby
3 – 0
BrommapojkarnaBRO
BrommapojkarnaBRO
0 – 1
MjallbyMjallby
MjallbyMjallby
1 – 0
BrommapojkarnaBRO
BrommapojkarnaBRO
0 – 0
MjallbyMjallby
MjallbyMjallby
1 – 1
BrommapojkarnaBRO

Match outlook

PickBrommapojkarna40.9%
Draw26.0%
Mjallby33.1%

The model leans Brommapojkarna to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,415Matches graded

In 24,332 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 50.5%✗ 56.8%✓ 60.5%✗ 68.6%✓ 54.9%✓ 50.9%✓ 52.4%✗ 50.6%✓ 54.1%✗ 57.1%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Liverpool vs Arsenal2026-11-01Over 50.5%Miss
Union Berlin vs FC Koln2026-11-01Over 56.8%Miss
Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg2026-11-01Over 60.5%Hit
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 68.6%Miss
Santander vs Real Madrid2026-11-01Over 54.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 2.5 goals at 54.8%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Brommapojkarna have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Mjallby 0.6 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.8% for over 2.5 and 78.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.4 goals a game. Brommapojkarna have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Mjallby in 2 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 54.8% for three or more goals and 78.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Brommapojkarna favoured at 40.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

40.9%Favoured: Brommapojkarna
58.5%Both Teams to Score
54.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 54.8% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 54.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBrommapojkarna are the model’s pick on the result at 40.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna

This season

2026 · Recorded results.

MjallbyMjallby
Statistic
Brommapojkarna
Mjallby
goals scored per game
1.4
1.2

goals conceded per game
1.6
1.7

Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
46.2%

1st-half goals per game
0.5
0.4

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 54.8% for Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby.
How often have Brommapojkarna gone over 2.5 recently?
Brommapojkarna have gone over 2.5 in 2 of their last 5, Mjallby in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.