2. Bundesliga
BochumBochumLLLDW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1112:30UK
KarlsruheKarlsruheLLWLW

Bochum vs Karlsruhe correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.4%
2-1 correct score9.7%
1-0 correct score8.8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.4%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Bochum goals, columns = Karlsruhe goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.4%
  2. 2-19.7%
  3. 1-08.8%
  4. 2-08.3%
  5. 1-26.3%
  6. 3-15.8%
  7. 0-05.7%
  8. 2-25.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.8% 11.4% 6.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Bochum · Columns: Karlsruhe

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.7%

0

14.3%

1

23.2%

2

22.4%

3

16.6%

4

16.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BochumBochumLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

KarlsruheKarlsruheLast 5
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 4-0
L
Loss · 1-6
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2BochumBochum wins
2Draws
1KarlsruheKarlsruhe wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
KarlsruheKarlsruhe
1 – 2
BochumBochum
BochumBochum
2 – 2
KarlsruheKarlsruhe
BochumBochum
1 – 2
KarlsruheKarlsruhe
KarlsruheKarlsruhe
0 – 1
BochumBochum
KarlsruheKarlsruhe
0 – 0
BochumBochum

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.4% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Bochum have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, Karlsruhe 1.4 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 56.8% for over 2.5 and 80.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 56.8% for three or more goals and 80.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Bochum favoured at 51.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

51.5%Favoured: Bochum
57.9%Both Teams to Score
56.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 56.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBochum are the model’s pick on the result at 51.5%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Bochum vs Karlsruhe?
The model's most likely scoreline for Bochum vs Karlsruhe is 1-1 at 11.4%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.