Super League Greece
Asteras Tripolis vs 
Olympiakos Corners
Result
We called Under 9.5 at 62.9% and it landed (9 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 37.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 62.2% for over 7.5 to 11.5% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.4%. Head to head on corners, Asteras Tripolis are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 50.1%, with a level count at 11.2%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| 8.5 corners | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 9.5 corners | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 26.4% | 73.6% |
| 11.5 corners | 17.8% | 82.2% |
| 12.5 corners | 11.5% | 88.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
63.6%
47.1%
32.4%
55.3%
38.4%
24.5%
Corner handicap
| Asteras Tripolis line | Asteras Tripolis | Olympiakos |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38.9% | 61.1% |
| -0.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| +0.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| +1.5 | 71.6% | 28.4% |
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Asteras Tripolis.
In-depth analysis
By team, Asteras Tripolis over 4.5 corners sits at 47.1% and Olympiakos at 38.4%.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 37.1% for Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos.
Which team will win the corner count in Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?
Before kickoff, the model rated Asteras Tripolis to win the corner count at 50.1%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,406 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Super League Greece, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.