2. Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs 
Darmstadt Corners
Result
We called Over 9.5 at 57.5% and it landed (13 in the match).
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 55.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 79.3% for over 7.5 to 25.1% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.7%. Head to head on corners, Wolfsburg are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 10.6%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.3% | 20.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| 11.5 corners | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 25.1% | 74.9% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
76.8%
62.1%
46.8%
67.6%
50.9%
35.3%
Corner handicap
| Wolfsburg line | Wolfsburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| -0.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| +0.5 | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| +1.5 | 72.6% | 27.4% |
This season (2026/27)
6.2Wolfsburg corners won per game7.6Wolfsburg corners conceded per game4.4Darmstadt corners won per game7.8Darmstadt corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Wolfsburg.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
57.5%Over 9.5 corners62.1%Wolfsburg over 4.5 corners50.9%Darmstadt over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Wolfsburg over 4.5 corners sits at 62.1% and Darmstadt at 50.9%. This season Wolfsburg have averaged 6.2 corners won a game and Darmstadt 4.4.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 57.5% for Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt.
Which team will win the corner count in Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt?
Before kickoff, the model rated Wolfsburg to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Wolfsburg and Darmstadt average this season?
Wolfsburg have won 6.2 corners a game this season and Darmstadt 4.4.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More 2. Bundesliga, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
