Championship
West Ham vs Wrexham Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 55.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 79.5% for over 7.5 to 25.5% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.1%. Head to head on corners, West Ham are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 57.7%, with a level count at 10.1%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| 8.5 corners | 69.3% | 30.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| 10.5 corners | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| 11.5 corners | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| 12.5 corners | 25.5% | 74.5% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
79.5%
65.7%
50.9%
63.9%
46.8%
31.5%
Corner handicap
| West Ham line | West Ham | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 27.3% | 72.7% |
| -1.5 | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| -0.5 | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| +0.5 | 67.9% | 32.2% |
This season (2026/27)
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for West Ham.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, West Ham over 4.5 corners sits at 65.7% and Wrexham at 46.8%. This season West Ham have averaged 6.5 corners won a game and Wrexham 5.0.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in West Ham vs Wrexham?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 57.8% for West Ham vs Wrexham.
Which team will win the corner count in West Ham vs Wrexham?
The model rates West Ham to win the corner count at 57.7%, with a level count at 10.1%.
How many corners do West Ham and Wrexham average this season?
West Ham have won 6.5 corners a game this season and Wrexham 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Championship, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.