Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs 
Kortrijk Cards
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 46.8%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 68.1% for over 2.5 to 14.9% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.8%. Between the two sides, Kortrijk are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 42.7%, with a level count at 21.9%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 68.1% | 31.9% |
| 3.5 cards | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| 4.5 cards | 28.2% | 71.8% |
| 5.5 cards | 14.9% | 85.1% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
49.6%
23.8%
55.0%
28.5%
Card handicap
| RAAL La Louviere line | RAAL La Louviere | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| -0.5 | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| +0.5 | 57.4% | 42.7% |
| +1.5 | 76.7% | 23.3% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| 22.5 fouls | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| 24.5 fouls | 32.4% | 67.6% |
This season (2026/27)
2.6RAAL La Louviere cards per game12.0RAAL La Louviere fouls per game1.8Kortrijk cards per game11.2Kortrijk fouls per gameBookings are a lower-liquidity market, so calibration matters most here, these are the model total-booking probabilities for RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk. The model leans toward Kortrijk for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
46.8%Over 3.5 cards20.0%Any red card49.6%RAAL La Louviere over 1.5 cards55.0%Kortrijk over 1.5 cards46.1%Over 22.5 foulsSplit by side, RAAL La Louviere over 1.5 cards sits at 49.6% and Kortrijk at 55.0%. A red card for either side is rated at 20.0% (RAAL La Louviere 8.1%, Kortrijk 12.9%). This season RAAL La Louviere have averaged 2.6 cards a game and Kortrijk 1.8.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 46.8% for RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk.
Will there be a red card in RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk?
The model rates a red card for either side at 20.0%.
Which team will pick up more cards in RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk?
The model rates Kortrijk to pick up more cards at 42.7%, with a level count at 21.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 10,145 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Cards actually happened 48.6% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.