Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs 
Kortrijk Double Chance
Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Home or Away at 72.8%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. For context, RAAL La Louviere are favoured at 42.0%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Double Chance
Draw no bet
Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.
Winning margin
| Margin | Probability |
|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere by 1 | 21.5% |
| RAAL La Louviere by 2 | 12.7% |
| RAAL La Louviere by 3+ | 7.8% |
| Kortrijk by 1 | 17.8% |
| Kortrijk by 2 | 8.8% |
| Kortrijk by 3+ | 4.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% |
Goal handicap
| RAAL La Louviere line | RAAL La Louviere | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| -0.5 | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| +0.5 | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| +1.5 | 87.0% | 13.0% |
This season (2026/27)
0.8RAAL La Louviere goals scored per game2.4RAAL La Louviere goals conceded per game0.2Kortrijk goals scored per game2.4Kortrijk goals conceded per gameTwo of three outcomes covered, lower odds, higher strike rate. The highest-probability cover is RAAL La Louviere or Kortrijk on the model numbers.
In-depth analysis
53.8%Both Teams to Score49.0%Over 2.5 goalsOn the result, RAAL La Louviere are favoured at 42.0%. Game state shapes this market, a side chasing the game tends to commit more.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
FAQ
What is the most likely double chance in RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk?
Home or Away is the highest-probability double chance for RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk at 72.8%.
What is the draw no bet probability in RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk?
With the draw taken out, the model rates RAAL La Louviere at 57.7% and Kortrijk at 42.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Double Chance accuracy
How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 39,986 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 14 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Double Chance calls
The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.