ChampionshipQueens Park Rangers vs Preston North End Shots
Result
Settled, final score 2-2. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 24.5 shots at 51.5%, its strongest read on the Shots market. Across the lines, the model goes from 64.0% for over 22.5 to 28.2% for over 28.5, with over 24.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.5%. Head to head on shots, Queens Park Rangers are the model’s pick to have more shots at 62.0%, with a level count at 5.9%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| 24.5 shots | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 26.5 shots | 39.3% | 60.8% |
| 28.5 shots | 28.2% | 71.8% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
74.0%
57.8%
41.4%
54.4%
36.2%
21.6%
Shot handicap
| Queens Park Rangers line | Queens Park Rangers | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| -2.5 | 49.5% | 50.6% |
| -0.5 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| +0.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 31.6% | 68.4% |
Total shots follow which side is chasing the game, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Queens Park Rangers.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
51.5%Over 24.5 shots57.8%Queens Park Rangers over 12.5 shots36.2%Preston North End over 12.5 shots55.9%Over 7.5 on targetSplit by side, Queens Park Rangers over 12.5 shots sits at 57.8% and Preston North End at 36.2%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 24.5 total shots at 51.5% for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End.
Which team will have more shots in Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?
Before kickoff, the model rated Queens Park Rangers to take more shots at 62.0%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 12,903 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 56.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Championship, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
