Pro League
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs 
Club Brugge Cards
Result
Settled, final score 0-3. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 52.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. The total-cards ladder runs from 72.6% for over 2.5 to 18.0% for over 5.5, with over 3.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.1%. On the card count, Oud-Heverlee Leuven are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 43.3%, with a level count at 21.3%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| 3.5 cards | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| 4.5 cards | 32.7% | 67.4% |
| 5.5 cards | 18.0% | 82.0% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
59.0%
31.9%
53.3%
26.6%
Card handicap
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven line | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24.1% | 75.9% |
| -0.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| +0.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| +1.5 | 81.8% | 18.2% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 62.1% | 38.0% |
| 22.5 fouls | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 24.5 fouls | 33.8% | 66.2% |
This season (2026/27)
3.0Oud-Heverlee Leuven cards per game13.0Oud-Heverlee Leuven fouls per game1.0Club Brugge cards per game6.0Club Brugge fouls per gameThe discipline market is less analysed than goals, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Club Brugge. It tips Oud-Heverlee Leuven for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
52.1%Over 3.5 cards14.7%Any red card59.0%Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 1.5 cards53.3%Club Brugge over 1.5 cards47.5%Over 22.5 foulsSplit by side, Oud-Heverlee Leuven over 1.5 cards sits at 59.0% and Club Brugge at 53.3%. A red card for either side is rated at 14.7% (Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11.1%, Club Brugge 4.1%). This season Oud-Heverlee Leuven have averaged 3.0 cards a game and Club Brugge 1.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 52.1% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Club Brugge.
Will there be a red card in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 14.7%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Club Brugge?
Before kickoff, the model rated Oud-Heverlee Leuven to pick up more cards at 43.3%, with a level count at 21.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 11,059 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Cards actually happened 55.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.