Premier League
Newcastle vs 
Liverpool Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 63.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Newcastle have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, Liverpool 1.8 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.7% for over 2.5 and 82.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.8 goals a game. Newcastle have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Liverpool in 5 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
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1.2
1.8
2.0
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
For the goal environment, the model sees 60.7% for three or more goals and 82.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Newcastle favoured at 38.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Newcastle to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Newcastle 0 · 1 draws · Liverpool 4 · 4.8 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 63.2% for Newcastle vs Liverpool.
How often have Newcastle seen both teams score recently?
Newcastle have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Liverpool in 5 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 5,687 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 29 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Premier League, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.