Segunda División
Leganes vs 
Granada Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · No at 55.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Leganes have averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded, Granada 1.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 37.4% for over 2.5 and 64.9% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 1.5 goals a game. Leganes have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Granada in 2 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.6
0.6
1.2
1.0
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
20.0%Leganes BTTS rate60.0%Leganes clean sheets
0.6Leganes goals scored per game40.0%Granada BTTS rate40.0%Granada clean sheets1.2Granada goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.
44.7%Both Teams to Score37.4%Over 2.5 goalsLooking at totals, the model sees 37.4% for three or more goals and 64.9% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Leganes favoured at 38.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Leganes to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Leganes 3 · 0 draws · Granada 1 · 1.5 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Leganes vs Granada?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 44.7% for Leganes vs Granada.
Will Leganes score against Granada?
The model rates Leganes to score at 68.6% and Granada to score at 64.2%.
How often have Leganes seen both teams score recently?
Leganes have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Granada in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 20,276 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 21 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
