Segunda División
Las Palmas vs Albacete Corners
Result
Settled, final score 2-1. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 47.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 72.9% for over 7.5 to 18.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.9%. On the corner count, Las Palmas are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.7%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 72.9% | 27.1% |
| 8.5 corners | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| 10.5 corners | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| 11.5 corners | 26.8% | 73.2% |
| 12.5 corners | 18.5% | 81.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.8%
59.6%
44.1%
59.1%
41.6%
26.8%
Corner handicap
| Las Palmas line | Las Palmas | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| -1.5 | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| -0.5 | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| +0.5 | 67.2% | 32.8% |
This season (2025/26)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Las Palmas.
In-depth analysis
Split by side, Las Palmas over 4.5 corners sits at 59.6% and Albacete at 41.6%. This season Las Palmas have averaged 4.4 corners won a game and Albacete 5.1.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Las Palmas vs Albacete?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 48.9% for Las Palmas vs Albacete.
Which team will win the corner count in Las Palmas vs Albacete?
Before kickoff, the model rated Las Palmas to win the corner count at 56.5%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How many corners do Las Palmas and Albacete average this season?
Las Palmas have won 4.4 corners a game this season and Albacete 5.1.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,548 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 14 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Segunda División, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.