La Liga

Getafe vs Santander Both Teams to Score

2026-08-23 · 18:30

Both Teams to Score59.1%Both teams to score · No

Result

Getafe 1-0 Santander

✓ No

We called No at 59.1% and it landed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 59.1%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.

59%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 59.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Getafe have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Santander 2.0 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 35.6% for over 2.5 and 63.2% for at least two goals. Getafe have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 5, Santander in 1 of 1. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes40.9%

★ ModelNo59.1%

Over 2.5 · context35.6%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Getafe scored

0.8

Getafe conceded

1.0

Santander scored

2.0

Santander conceded

2.0

Each team to score

Getafe to score73.4%

Getafe 2+ goals38.2%

Santander to score54.9%

Santander 2+ goals19.0%

By half

Both score in 1st half18.9%

Both score in 2nd half15.6%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

12.6%

24.2%

27.6%

19.1%

10.1%

6.2%

In-depth analysis

49.0%Favoured: Getafe

40.9%Both Teams to Score

35.6%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 35.6% for three or more goals and 63.2% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Getafe favoured at 49.0%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 59.1% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.

The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 35.6% over 2.5 read.

The ScoutGetafe are the model’s pick on the result at 49.0%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Match outlook

Getafe49.0%

Draw29.3%

Santander21.7%

The model leans Getafe to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

Alvaro RodríguezGetafe · 2.71 shots/90

To score 8.8%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

GetafeDWLWL

SantanderD

Recent trends

GetafeBTTS 1/5Over 2.5 2/5

SantanderBTTS 1/1Over 2.5 1/1

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Getafe vs Santander?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 40.9%. Both teams did not both score, final score 1-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate

0.0231Calibration error

55,318Matches graded

In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%

5 of 10 recent calls hit.

Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit

Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss

Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss

Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss

Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More La Liga, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.

Getafe vs Santander prediction & probabilities (2026-08-23)