Serie A
Genoa vs 
Fiorentina Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 50.0%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Genoa have averaged 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Fiorentina 1.2 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.7% for over 2.5 and 70.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Genoa have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Fiorentina in 3 of 5. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.6
2.0
1.2
2.4
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
60.0%Genoa BTTS rate0.0%Genoa clean sheets
0.6Genoa goals scored per game60.0%Fiorentina BTTS rate0.0%Fiorentina clean sheets1.2Fiorentina goals scored per gameGoals distribution
How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
50.0%Both Teams to Score43.7%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 43.7% for three or more goals and 70.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Genoa favoured at 35.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Genoa to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Genoa 0 · 3 draws · Fiorentina 2 · 2.0 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 50.0% for Genoa vs Fiorentina.
Will Genoa score against Fiorentina?
The model rates Genoa to score at 69.6% and Fiorentina to score at 70.9%.
How often have Genoa seen both teams score recently?
Genoa have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Fiorentina in 3 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Serie A, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
