Eredivisie
For Sittard vs 
Cambuur Shots
Result
Settled, final score 3-1. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 24.5 shots at 60.6%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 71.1% for over 22.5 to 38.8% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 49.6%. Head to head on shots, For Sittard are the model’s pick to have more shots at 57.6%, with a level count at 5.4%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| 24.5 shots | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| 26.5 shots | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| 28.5 shots | 38.8% | 61.3% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
75.1%
61.0%
46.4%
62.3%
46.3%
31.8%
Shot handicap
| For Sittard line | For Sittard | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| -2.5 | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| -0.5 | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| +0.5 | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 81.5% | 18.5% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 72.1% | 27.9% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 61.6% | 38.5% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 50.6% | 49.4% |
This season (2026/27)
8.0For Sittard shots per game11.0Cambuur shots per gameShot counts move with pressure, not with the result, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to For Sittard.
In-depth analysis
60.6%Over 24.5 shots61.0%For Sittard over 12.5 shots46.3%Cambuur over 12.5 shots72.1%Over 7.5 on targetFor the team lines, For Sittard over 12.5 shots sits at 61.0% and Cambuur at 46.3%. This season For Sittard have averaged 8.0 shots a game and Cambuur 11.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in For Sittard vs Cambuur?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 24.5 total shots at 60.6% for For Sittard vs Cambuur.
Which team will have more shots in For Sittard vs Cambuur?
Before kickoff, the model rated For Sittard to take more shots at 57.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 2,742 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Shots actually happened 65.6% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
The model’s most recent graded Shots predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Eredivisie, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.