Pro League
Club Brugge vs 
Antwerp Shots
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 24.5 shots at 62.5%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 73.3% for over 22.5 to 39.2% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 50.8%. On the shot count, Club Brugge are the model’s pick to have more shots at 68.6%, with a level count at 5.1%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Shots
Total shots, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 shots | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 24.5 shots | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| 26.5 shots | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| 28.5 shots | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Who takes more shots
Team shot lines
82.3%
69.5%
54.7%
56.2%
38.8%
24.3%
Shot handicap
| Club Brugge line | Club Brugge | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| -2.5 | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| -0.5 | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| +0.5 | 73.7% | 26.3% |
Shots on target
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 shots on target | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| 7.5 shots on target | 72.1% | 27.9% |
| 8.5 shots on target | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| 9.5 shots on target | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Recent shot volume
Shots taken and faced per game over each side’s last 6 matches, from real match data.
This season (2026/27)
16.8Club Brugge shots per game11.0Club Brugge shots faced per game16.4Antwerp shots per game15.2Antwerp shots faced per gameTotal shots follow which side is chasing the game, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Club Brugge.
In-depth analysis
62.5%Over 24.5 shots69.5%Club Brugge over 12.5 shots38.8%Antwerp over 12.5 shots72.1%Over 7.5 on targetBy team, Club Brugge over 12.5 shots sits at 69.5% and Antwerp at 38.8%. This season Club Brugge have averaged 16.8 shots a game and Antwerp 16.4.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many shots in Club Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates over 24.5 total shots at 62.5% for Club Brugge vs Antwerp.
Which team will have more shots in Club Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates Club Brugge to take more shots at 68.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Shots accuracy
How our Shots calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 2,742 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Shots actually happened 65.6% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Shots calls
The model’s most recent graded Shots predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Shots
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.