Pro League
Club Brugge vs 
Antwerp Over / Under 2.5 Goals
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 2.5 goals at 62.5%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Club Brugge have averaged 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded, Antwerp 2.0 and 2.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 62.5% for over 2.5 and 83.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Club Brugge have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Antwerp in 4 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Total goals, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 95.6% | 4.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 83.6% | 16.4% |
| 2.5 goals | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| 3.5 goals | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| 4.5 goals | 22.4% | 77.6% |
| 5.5 goals | 10.8% | 89.2% |
Team goal lines
89.8%
66.5%
39.9%
60.9%
24.3%
7.0%
First-half goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| 1.5 goals | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| 2.5 goals | 15.4% | 84.6% |
Second-half goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| 1.5 goals | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| 2.5 goals | 27.9% | 72.1% |
This season (2026/27)
1.8Club Brugge goals scored per game0.4Club Brugge goals conceded per game60.0%Club Brugge Over 2.5 rate1.0Club Brugge 1st-half goals per game2.0Antwerp goals scored per game2.0Antwerp goals conceded per game80.0%Antwerp Over 2.5 rate0.4Antwerp 1st-half goals per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
55.1%Both Teams to Score62.5%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 62.5% for three or more goals and 83.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Club Brugge favoured at 67.1%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Club Brugge to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Club Brugge 2 · 1 draws · Antwerp 2 · 2.4 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Club Brugge vs Antwerp?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 62.5% for Club Brugge vs Antwerp.
Will there be a first-half goal in Club Brugge vs Antwerp?
The model rates at least one goal before half-time at 74.0%.
How often have Club Brugge gone over 2.5 recently?
Club Brugge have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Antwerp in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy
How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 6,496 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 62.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls
The model’s most recent graded Over / Under 2.5 Goals predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.