Serie A
Bologna vs 
Lazio Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 39.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. For context, Bologna are favoured at 39.5%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Bologna.
In-depth analysis
Reading the match, Bologna are favoured at 39.5%. We lean on calibration, not the favourite tag.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Bologna to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bologna 2 · 1 draws · Lazio 2 · 3.0 goals/game.
FAQ
How many corners in Bologna vs Lazio?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 39.9% for Bologna vs Lazio.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Corners-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 30 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Serie A, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.