Football odds and model probabilities

Football odds finder

Find football selections near your target odds, with our statistical model probability beside each recorded price.

Odds finder

Advanced
Leagues
All leagues
Teams
All teams

Recorded prices from one bookmaker · Not live.

One bookmaker supplies these recorded odds. Prices are recorded before kickoff and may have moved. Only outcomes our model gives at least 50% are shown. Markets with insufficient calibration quality are excluded. Fair is 1 / our model probability, not a bookmaker offer. A disagreement, never a proven edge. Not betting advice. Singles are standard; slips use 2 to 5 different matches and recorded bookmaker prices. More legs mean every selection must win; the per-leg model minimum is not the chance of winning the whole slip. Cards: the bookmaker settles on its own card count, which may include red cards. Our model counts yellow cards only. Shots: the bookmaker settles on its own shot count, which can differ from the match statistics our model learns from.

The default window is the next 3 days (72 hours from now). Advanced offers the next 24 hours, 48 hours, 3, 5 or 7 days. Windows follow kickoff time, not midnight or the age of the price; only fresh recorded prices qualify. Your favourite leagues and teams are preselected. A selected league or team qualifies; clear both lists for all matches. Leave both odds limits blank for ±5% around your target; one limit leaves the other end open. For slips the target and interval apply to the combined bookmaker odds; every leg needs at least the chosen model chance. The 3 to 5-leg search keeps a limited set of partial combinations, so it may miss a closer combination. Results say when the search was limited.

Matching predictions

5 of 24 matching singles · nearest odds first, then model chance and kickoff.

  1. Sat 31 Oct · 12:00 GMT · 2. Bundesliga
    KaiserslauternvsHertha
    Under 3.5 goals
    Recorded odds1.50Model chance73%Fair odds1.37

    Recorded 1 h ago · not live

  2. Wed 28 Oct · 19:45 GMT · Serie A
    MonzavsNapoli
    Under 3.5 goals
    Recorded odds1.50Model chance73%Fair odds1.37

    Recorded 1 h ago · not live

  3. Fri 30 Oct · 18:00 GMT · Danish Superliga
    LyngbyvsRanders FC
    Under 3.5 goals
    Recorded odds1.50Model chance72%Fair odds1.40

    Recorded 1 h ago · not live

  4. Fri 30 Oct · 17:30 GMT · 2. Bundesliga
    BielefeldvsBraunschweig
    Under 3.5 goals
    Recorded odds1.50Model chance68%Fair odds1.48

    Recorded 1 h ago · not live

  5. Wed 28 Oct · 18:00 GMT · Allsvenskan
    GoteborgvsDjurgarden
    Under 3.5 goals
    Recorded odds1.50Model chance68%Fair odds1.48

    Recorded 1 h ago · not live

How it works

  1. Choose your odds and market

    Enter a decimal price such as 1.50. Choose a market, then use Advanced for dates, leagues, teams or a wider price interval.

  2. Read the model alongside the price

    Results are closest to your target first, then ordered by model chance and kickoff. Every selection has at least a 50% model chance.

  3. Open the match for context

    Read the full prediction before making a decision. Use the save button to keep the recorded price in your betslip; prices can change.

Three numbers, different meanings

Recorded odds
A decimal price observed from one bookmaker before kickoff, with the observation age shown. It is not a live quote or a comparison of bookmakers.
Model chance
Our statistical football model estimates how often that outcome would happen in similar matches. An estimate is not a promise.
Fair odds
One divided by the model probability. For example, 80% gives fair odds of 1.25. This is a model calculation, not an offered price.

Odds finder questions

How do I find football odds around 1.50?

Set the target to 1.50 and choose Find. The default interval is 5% either side. Advanced lets you change both limits, the date and the minimum model chance.

Does this compare bookmakers?

No. These recorded prices come from one bookmaker. Odds finder searches selections near your chosen price; it does not compare offers across betting sites.

Are the odds live?

No. Only prices observed within the last 24 hours and before kickoff qualify. Each result shows its observation age. Always check the current price and settlement rules with the bookmaker.

Is this an AI odds finder?

This football odds finder uses Road2Sushi's statistical prediction models. It screens recorded bookmaker prices alongside our published model probabilities. AI describes the prediction system; every figure is an estimate, not a promised result.

Why are there no matching selections?

A market may have no recorded prices near your target, or no selection may pass the model, freshness and kickoff rules. We leave out markets with insufficient calibration quality. A nearest qualifying price is shown when one is available; try another market, date or interval.

Can I choose 2 to 5 matches and odds around 3, 4 or 5?

Yes. In Advanced choose 2, 3, 4 or 5 matches per slip, then enter your target odds. Each leg uses a different match and meets the same model and price-quality checks. Combined odds multiply the recorded prices; decimal odds of 5 mean a total return of 5 times the stake including the original stake, if every leg wins. The 3 to 5-match search is bounded and can miss a closer combination. The displayed model chance applies to each leg; it is not a calibrated probability for the whole slip.

How our football model worksEvery published prediction, gradedFootball predictions