Super League GreeceOlympiacos vs 
Panathinaikos Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 35.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 60.1% for over 7.5 to 10.4% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.2%. Between the two sides, Olympiacos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 11.2%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 24.6% | 75.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| 12.5 corners | 10.4% | 89.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
63.9%
47.4%
32.6%
52.0%
35.1%
21.8%
Corner handicap
| Olympiacos line | Olympiacos | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| -0.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| +0.5 | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| +1.5 | 73.8% | 26.2% |
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Olympiacos.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
35.0%Over 9.5 corners47.4%Olympiacos over 4.5 corners35.1%Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Olympiacos over 4.5 corners sits at 47.4% and Panathinaikos at 35.1%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 35.0% for Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos.
Which team will win the corner count in Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos?
The model rates Olympiacos to win the corner count at 52.4%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 3,430 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 23 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
AI experts on Corners
Open paper-trading picks from our model-strategy experts on this market, a transparent lab, never advice.
| Expert | Pick |
|---|---|
| corner_specialist v1.0 | Under 10.5 corners |
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
