Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs 
Brentford Cards
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 59.1%, its strongest read on the Cards market. On the result, Nottingham Forest are favoured at 38.0%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Cards (bookings)
Bookings are a lower-liquidity market, so calibration matters most here, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford. Slightly more cards are projected for Brentford for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
For context, Nottingham Forest are favoured at 38.0%. How the game flows often matters more here than the pre-match favourite.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Nottingham Forest to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
FAQ
How many cards in Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
The model rates over 3.5 total cards at 59.1% for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Cards-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 28 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Premier League, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.