Lommel SK vs Westerlo prediction & probabilities (2026-08-23)

Pro League

Lommel SK vs Westerlo Both Teams to Score

2026-08-23 · 15:00
Both Teams to Score58.1%Both teams to score · Yes

Result

Lommel SK 4-0 Westerlo
✕ Yes

We called Yes at 58.1% and it missed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 58.1%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
58%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 58.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Lommel SK have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded, Westerlo 1.0 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.2% for over 2.5 and 78.3% for at least two goals. Lommel SK have seen both teams score in 1 of their last 2, Westerlo in 3 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes58.1%

No41.9%

Over 2.5 · context54.2%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Lommel SK scored

0.5

Lommel SK conceded

1.0

Westerlo scored

1.0

Westerlo conceded

2.4

Each team to score

Lommel SK to score74.0%

Lommel SK 2+ goals38.9%

Westerlo to score77.7%

Westerlo 2+ goals44.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half19.4%

Both score in 2nd half24.8%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

6.4%

0

15.3%

1

24.1%

2

22.3%

3

15.9%

4

15.3%

5+

In-depth analysis

40.5%Favoured: Westerlo
58.1%Both Teams to Score
54.2%Over 2.5 goals

Looking at totals, the model sees 54.2% for three or more goals and 78.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Westerlo favoured at 40.5%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 58.1% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 54.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWesterlo are the model’s pick on the result at 40.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.

Match outlook

Lommel SK33.4%

Draw26.1%

Westerlo40.5%

The model leans Westerlo to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

Lommel SKDL
WesterloWLLLL

Recent trends

Lommel SKBTTS 1/2Over 2.5 0/2
WesterloBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Lommel SK vs Westerlo?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 58.1%. Both teams did not both score, final score 4-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 26,581 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More Pro League, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.