Granada vs Mallorca prediction & probabilities (2026-08-24)

Segunda División

Granada vs Mallorca Both Teams to Score

2026-08-24 · 20:30
Both Teams to Score51.4%Both teams to score · No

Result

Granada 2-0 Mallorca
✓ No

We called No at 51.4% and it landed.

Best predictionBoth teams to score · No · 51.4%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
51%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 51.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Granada have averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Mallorca 1.8 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.9% for over 2.5 and 72.9% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 1.5 goals a game. Granada have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Mallorca in 2 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

Yes48.6%

★ ModelNo51.4%

Over 2.5 · context46.9%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Granada scored

0.4

Granada conceded

1.4

Mallorca scored

1.8

Mallorca conceded

0.6

Each team to score

Granada to score80.8%

Granada 2+ goals49.1%

Mallorca to score59.4%

Mallorca 2+ goals22.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half17.5%

Both score in 2nd half21.8%

Goals distribution

The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.

8.4%

0

18.7%

1

26.0%

2

21.6%

3

13.8%

4

10.8%

5+

In-depth analysis

54.4%Favoured: Granada
48.6%Both Teams to Score
46.9%Over 2.5 goals

On the goals side, the model sees 46.9% for three or more goals and 72.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Granada favoured at 54.4%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 51.4% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 46.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGranada are the model’s pick on the result at 54.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Granada54.4%

Draw25.7%

Mallorca19.9%

The model leans Granada to win. See the full prediction →

Key players

A

Abdón PratsMallorca · 3.48 shots/90
To score 5.1%

This season’s squad only, rated on recent form; a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.

Form & head-to-head

GranadaLLLLD
MallorcaWWWDW

Last 2 meetings: Granada 1 · 1 draws · Mallorca 0 · 1.5 goals/game.

Recent trends

GranadaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
MallorcaBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Granada vs Mallorca?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 48.6%. Both teams did not both score, final score 2-0.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,318Matches graded

In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✓ 52.9%✗ 51.9%✗ 59.3%✗ 50.6%✓ 52.6%✓ 51.6%✗ 51.1%✓ 58.9%✓ 62.2%✗ 52.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Yes 52.9%Hit
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10No 51.9%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Yes 59.3%Miss
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Yes 50.6%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09No 52.6%Hit

More Segunda División, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.