Eredivisie
Den Haag vs 
Groningen Corners
Result
Settled, final score 1-4. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 55.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 79.5% for over 7.5 to 26.2% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.5%. On the corner count, Den Haag are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 9.7%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.5% | 20.5% |
| 8.5 corners | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| 9.5 corners | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 11.5 corners | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 26.2% | 73.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
75.6%
61.5%
47.0%
66.7%
50.8%
36.1%
Corner handicap
| Den Haag line | Den Haag | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| -0.5 | 52.2% | 47.9% |
| +0.5 | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| +1.5 | 70.9% | 29.1% |
This season (2026/27)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Den Haag.
In-depth analysis
Split by side, Den Haag over 4.5 corners sits at 61.5% and Groningen at 50.8%. This season Den Haag have averaged 7.0 corners won a game and Groningen 5.0.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Den Haag vs Groningen?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 58.1% for Den Haag vs Groningen.
Which team will win the corner count in Den Haag vs Groningen?
Before kickoff, the model rated Den Haag to win the corner count at 52.2%, with a level count at 9.7%.
How many corners do Den Haag and Groningen average this season?
Den Haag have won 7.0 corners a game this season and Groningen 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 14 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.