Eredivisie
Den Haag vs 
For Sittard Correct Score
Result
Final score 2-3. The model gave that exact scoreline 3.6%.
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Most likely · 11.2% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Den Haag have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded, For Sittard 1.6 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.8% for over 2.5 and 82.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
| 0-1 | 6.5% |
| 1-0 | 6.0% |
| 0-2 | 5.7% |
| 2-0 | 5.0% |
Score probability grid
| Den Haag \ For Sittard | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 1 | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | · |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | · | · |
| 5 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Den Haag goals, columns = For Sittard. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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5+
In-depth analysis
63.2%Both Teams to Score60.8%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 60.8% for three or more goals and 82.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With For Sittard favoured at 40.0%, a competitive game tends to open up.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Den Haag 1 · 1 draws · For Sittard 3 · 2.0 goals/game.
FAQ
What was the score in Den Haag vs For Sittard?
Den Haag vs For Sittard finished 2-3. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 11.2%; it gave the actual 2-3 a 3.6% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Eredivisie, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.