Pro League
Beveren vs 
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Correct Score
Result
Final score 3-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 3.3%.
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Most likely · 13.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Beveren have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.4 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.1% for over 2.5 and 72.3% for at least two goals. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
| 0-1 | 8.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
| 0-2 | 5.5% |
Score probability grid
| Beveren \ Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | · |
| 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | · | · |
| 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | · | · | · |
| 5 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Beveren goals, columns = Oud-Heverlee Leuven. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
51.7%Both Teams to Score46.1%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 46.1% for three or more goals and 72.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Beveren favoured at 40.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
FAQ
What was the score in Beveren vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Beveren vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven finished 3-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.3%; it gave the actual 3-0 a 3.3% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Pro League, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.