Süper Lig
Besiktas vs 
Eyupspor Cards
Result
Settled, final score 1-0. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 3.5 cards at 69.4%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Across the lines, the model goes from 85.0% for over 2.5 to 33.6% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.0%. Between the two sides, Eyupspor are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 55.2%, with a level count at 17.8%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Cards (bookings)
Total cards, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 cards | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| 3.5 cards | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| 4.5 cards | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| 5.5 cards | 33.6% | 66.4% |
Who picks up more cards
Team card lines
58.3%
31.2%
76.3%
52.2%
Card handicap
| Besiktas line | Besiktas | Eyupspor |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13.7% | 86.3% |
| -0.5 | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| +0.5 | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| +1.5 | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Red card
Fouls
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 fouls | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| 22.5 fouls | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| 24.5 fouls | 58.7% | 41.3% |
This season (2025/26)
2.3Besiktas cards per game13.6Besiktas fouls per game2.4Eyupspor cards per game12.1Eyupspor fouls per gameBookings are a lower-liquidity market, so calibration matters most here, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Besiktas vs Eyupspor. It tips Eyupspor for the most cards.
In-depth analysis
69.4%Over 3.5 cards20.1%Any red card58.3%Besiktas over 1.5 cards76.3%Eyupspor over 1.5 cards72.5%Over 22.5 foulsBy team, Besiktas over 1.5 cards sits at 58.3% and Eyupspor at 76.3%. A red card for either side is rated at 20.1% (Besiktas 3.5%, Eyupspor 17.3%). This season Besiktas have averaged 2.3 cards a game and Eyupspor 2.4.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many cards in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 69.4% for Besiktas vs Eyupspor.
Will there be a red card in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 20.1%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?
Before kickoff, the model rated Eyupspor to pick up more cards at 55.2%, with a level count at 17.8%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Cards accuracy
How our Cards calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 10,079 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Cards calls
The model’s most recent graded Cards predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Süper Lig, Cards
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.