Segunda DivisiónAndorra vs Ceuta Corners
Result
Settled, final score 5-1. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 41.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 66.7% for over 7.5 to 13.7% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.1%. Between the two sides, Andorra are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 62.5%, with a level count at 10.5%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| 9.5 corners | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 20.9% | 79.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 13.7% | 86.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.5%
59.1%
43.6%
49.2%
31.8%
18.6%
Corner handicap
| Andorra line | Andorra | Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| -1.5 | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| -0.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| +0.5 | 73.0% | 27.0% |
This season (2025/26)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Andorra.
In-depth analysis
Split by side, Andorra over 4.5 corners sits at 59.1% and Ceuta at 31.8%. This season Andorra have averaged 4.9 corners won a game and Ceuta 4.1.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Andorra vs Ceuta?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 41.6% for Andorra vs Ceuta.
Which team will win the corner count in Andorra vs Ceuta?
Before kickoff, the model rated Andorra to win the corner count at 62.5%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Andorra and Ceuta average this season?
Andorra have won 4.9 corners a game this season and Ceuta 4.1.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,548 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Segunda División, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.