Eredivisie
Ajax vs Excelsior Rotterdam Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 58.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits an open goals environment: 69.1% for over 2.5 and 87.5% for at least two goals. Ajax have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
3.4
1.4
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
66.7%Ajax BTTS rate33.3%Ajax clean sheets
3.2Ajax goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
0
1
2
3
4
5+
In-depth analysis
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
58.4%Both Teams to Score69.1%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 69.1% for three or more goals and 87.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Ajax favoured at 71.1%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Ajax to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Excelsior Rotterdam?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 58.4% for Ajax vs Excelsior Rotterdam.
Will Ajax score against Excelsior Rotterdam?
The model rates Ajax to score at 92.4% and Excelsior Rotterdam to score at 62.9%.
How often have Ajax seen both teams score recently?
Ajax have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,677 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 18 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Eredivisie, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
