Premier League
Sunderland vs 
West Ham Clean Sheet
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Most likely clean sheet at 25.1%, its strongest read on the Clean Sheet market. For context, West Ham are favoured at 39.7%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Clean Sheet
Probability each side concedes zero, derived from the model score matrix. Calibration-graded, not a tip.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans West Ham to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
FAQ
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Clean Sheet-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 30 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Premier League, Clean Sheet
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.