Pro League
St Truiden vs 
RAAL La Louviere Double Chance
Part of a bigger picture: see the full match page, where this comes from.
Result
The highest-probability cover, St Truiden or Draw (79.1%), landed.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Home or Draw at 79.1%, its strongest read on the Double Chance market. On the result, St Truiden are favoured at 54.9%, a competitive game that shapes how this market plays out. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Double Chance
Draw no bet
Draw no bet: the draw is taken out and the remaining probability is split between the two sides.
Winning margin
| Margin | Probability |
|---|---|
| St Truiden by 1 | 23.4% |
| St Truiden by 2 | 17.0% |
| St Truiden by 3+ | 14.4% |
| RAAL La Louviere by 1 | 13.2% |
| RAAL La Louviere by 2 | 5.6% |
| RAAL La Louviere by 3+ | 2.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% |
Goal handicap
| St Truiden line | St Truiden | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14.4% | 85.6% |
| -1.5 | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| -0.5 | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| +0.5 | 79.0% | 21.0% |
Two of three outcomes covered, lower odds, higher strike rate. The highest-probability cover is St Truiden or draw on the model numbers.
In-depth analysis
54.3%Both Teams to Score
53.9%Over 2.5 goalsOn the result, St Truiden are favoured at 54.9%. How the game flows often matters more here than the pre-match favourite.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: St Truiden 2 · 0 draws · RAAL La Louviere 0 · 3.0 goals/game.
FAQ
Which double chance landed in St Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere?
Home or Draw was the highest-probability cover at 79.1%; it landed, final score 4-0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Double Chance accuracy
How our Double Chance calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 39,986 matches we rated like this one (70–80%), Double Chance actually happened 73.4% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Double Chance calls
The model’s most recent graded Double Chance predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Double Chance
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.