2. BundesligaOsnabruck vs Magdeburg Corners
Result
Settled, final score 0-3. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 53.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 77.4% for over 7.5 to 23.5% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.1%. Between the two sides, Osnabruck are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.3%, with a level count at 10.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 77.4% | 22.6% |
| 8.5 corners | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| 9.5 corners | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.5% | 76.5% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
75.9%
61.2%
46.0%
65.2%
48.4%
33.1%
Corner handicap
| Osnabruck line | Osnabruck | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| -0.5 | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| +0.5 | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| +1.5 | 73.4% | 26.6% |
This season (2026/27)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Osnabruck.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Osnabruck over 4.5 corners sits at 61.2% and Magdeburg at 48.4%. This season Osnabruck have averaged 6.0 corners won a game and Magdeburg 5.0.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Osnabruck vs Magdeburg?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 55.1% for Osnabruck vs Magdeburg.
Which team will win the corner count in Osnabruck vs Magdeburg?
Before kickoff, the model rated Osnabruck to win the corner count at 53.3%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How many corners do Osnabruck and Magdeburg average this season?
Osnabruck have won 6.0 corners a game this season and Magdeburg 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More 2. Bundesliga, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.