Championship
Norwich vs West Brom Correct Score
Result
Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 6.4%.
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Most likely · 13.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Norwich have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, West Brom 1.2 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.6% for over 2.5 and 70.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | 6.4% |
| 0-2 | 4.5% |
Score probability grid
| Norwich \ West Brom | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | · | · |
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | · |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | · | · |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | · | · |
| 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | · | · | · |
| 5 | · | · | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Norwich goals, columns = West Brom. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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5+
In-depth analysis
48.6%Both Teams to Score43.6%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 43.6% for three or more goals and 70.3% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Norwich favoured at 45.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Norwich 3 · 1 draws · West Brom 1 · 2.6 goals/game.
FAQ
What was the score in Norwich vs West Brom?
Norwich vs West Brom finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.3%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 6.4% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
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Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.